As China deploys surface-to-air missile (SAM) launchers to the Woody Islands in the South China Sea, CNAS Defense Strategies and Assessments Program Associate Fellow Kelley Sayler has written a new report, “Red Alert: The Growing Threat to U.S. Aircraft Carriers.” The report examines the short-, medium-, and long-range threats to the carrier – including SAMs and other anti-access/area denial capabilities, in which China is investing heavily – and concludes that U.S. carriers will not be able to act with impunity in the event of future conflict.
Michael Madden discusses an infusion of hardliners in the latest reshuffling of North Korea’s top leadership.
This new report explains how central government efforts to address excessive production capacity have been ineffectual due to regional protectionism, weak regulatory enforcement, low resource pricing, misdirected investment, inadequate protection of intellectual property rights and an emphasis on market share.
Source: Overcapacity in China
Christopher Rea at the UBC delves into the social history of humor in China. Those of us who have had to bridge the cultural divide between Western and Asian humor will appreciate this work.
Alongside China’s development of many capabilities necessary to conduct missions far from its borders, China’s actions to shape the international security environment are accelerating. This poses both opportunities and challenges for U.S. policymakers.
This is the text of the testimony Kristen Gunness made to the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission in January of this year. Reading between the lines, it is clear that China is determined to wield a big stick far from its home shores.
In effect, the world has already experienced a China hard landing. This helps explain why markets react in such terror at every hint the renminbi might fall in value: a weaker renminbi reduces the dollar value of the goods China can buy on international markets, at a time when demand from its traditional industrial and construction sectors is already declining.
Arthur Kroeber’s eloquent take on George Soros’ prediction: China is not likely to land hard this year. But the sum total of policy changes underway are going to make it a lot rougher for the rest of the world as China’s role as global growth engine diminishes.