There was a time when defense planners could anticipate, well in advance with a high degree of accuracy, the kind of threats and adversaries they would face in their next conflict. War Plan Orange, the U.S. Navy’s plan to engage and beat Japan in a Pacific war, had been under study for over 30 years when the attack on Pearl Harbor came, and the war in the Pacific unfolded largely as planners had expected.
Not so in today’s world, as Nathan Freier points out in this book published by the Strategic Studies Institute. Today, attacks from unexpected directions – “strategic shocks” in Pentagon parlance – are the new norm. Freier makes a case why and how defense planning must change from its cold war mode and into a newer, more flexible approach.
There is more than national security policy on the able in this work. “Strategic shocks” are becoming a common challenge in business as well, and for those businesses that actually do try to maintain a longer-term or strategic view of the market (and that tiny fraction that even attempt informal plans to that end), this book is a worthy companion to The Innovator’s Dilemma.